Signal Index crossed bearish
Logged Thu, 13 Aug 2026 06:20:25 GMT (13 Aug) · XRP at $1.0119
The Composite Signal Index declined from 46 to 44, moving below the neutral band. Historical patterns suggest similar conditions have been followed by lower XRP trading over the subsequent week. Confidence 42/100, computed from how far the reading sits past its threshold, not an opinion. This is an observation of a measured market condition, not a recommendation. We log the condition and what happens next so the record can be judged on its own. Not financial advice.
Evidence at fire time
- RSI (14)
- 35.9
- Signal Index
- 44
- Signal Index (prior)
- 46
- 50-day SMA
- $1.0786
- 200-day SMA
- $1.3044
- 50-day SMA (prior)
- $1.0802
- 200-day SMA (prior)
- $1.3090
- ETF net flow (7d)
- -$181.1K
- Whale outflow ratio (7d)
- 0.43
- Whale net flow (7d)
- -14.2M XRP
- Active addresses (sample)
- 4,036
- Payment volume (sample)
- 194K XRP
- Escrow released (sample)
- 0 XRP
- Ledger close avg
- 2.40s
- TA sentiment
- neutral
- XRP price
- $1.0119
Outcome
MISSED- Predicted
- Lower
- Actual
- Higher
- Realized move
- +9.2%
- Price at fire
- $1.0119
- Price at resolve
- $1.1053
- Sideways band
- ±3%
Logged before the result was known, recorded 13 Aug and settled 7 days later on Thu, 20 Aug 2026 07:05:18 GMT.
Integrity
- Evidence hash (content_hash)
- 118f4eed774dc84ab8b853608b4ecb68927bb3b23d31dade151454501fefe425
- Previous entry hash (prev_hash)
- 3e6eb464c2da6c4060dbe75ba1f422270d8d4a60fc34e508d9361c6f9b89a1c0
- This entry hash (row_hash)
- e2875873d3f5ab1b273ba25c5b3c9ef7921391410045434daf59ff54a742bbe1
These hashes are recomputed from the columns above on every request. The evidence hash seals the inputs; the entry hash seals this row to the one before it. The full chain can be re-derived on the Track Record page.
XRP Signal is for informational purposes only. Nothing on this platform constitutes financial advice. Always do your own research.