XRP Signal
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Lower1 week horizonconfidence 46/100model v1.1

Whale distribution (exchange inflows)

Logged Fri, 07 Aug 2026 06:20:15 GMT (7 Aug) · XRP at $1.0250

Large wallet transfers show 66 percent inbound flow to exchanges over the past 7 days, with net deposits of 37.2M XRP. Historical patterns suggest such distribution conditions have frequently preceded lower XRP price activity in the subsequent week. Confidence 46/100, computed from how far the reading sits past its threshold, not an opinion. This is an observation of a measured market condition, not a recommendation. We log the condition and what happens next so the record can be judged on its own. Not financial advice.

Evidence at fire time

RSI (14)
37.5
Signal Index
45
Signal Index (prior)
46
50-day SMA
$1.0910
200-day SMA
$1.3318
50-day SMA (prior)
$1.0937
200-day SMA (prior)
$1.3367
ETF net flow (7d)
$10.15M
Whale outflow ratio (7d)
0.34
Whale net flow (7d)
-37.2M XRP
Active addresses (sample)
629
Payment volume (sample)
305K XRP
Escrow released (sample)
0 XRP
Ledger close avg
4.00s
TA sentiment
neutral
XRP price
$1.0250

Outcome

MISSED
Predicted
Lower
Actual
Sideways
Realized move
-1.7%
Price at fire
$1.0250
Price at resolve
$1.0072
Sideways band
±3%

Logged before the result was known, recorded 7 Aug and settled 7 days later on Fri, 14 Aug 2026 07:05:21 GMT.

Integrity

Evidence hash matchesChain hash consistent
Evidence hash (content_hash)
c028bac2bec0c20ddb863407963933be5bea7d7d42a61e3fd77ed584c43d73c0
Previous entry hash (prev_hash)
6ceb94a60cf649cbdae95385f37501f9e93bf8601cdc3d9491c0cf737b1b00ad
This entry hash (row_hash)
aa426c68ca596186a8099728d2b7095a6c7f224d65515ed30f6f8efe8d81b110

These hashes are recomputed from the columns above on every request. The evidence hash seals the inputs; the entry hash seals this row to the one before it. The full chain can be re-derived on the Track Record page.

XRP Signal is for informational purposes only. Nothing on this platform constitutes financial advice. Always do your own research.