Signal Index crossed bearish
Logged Sat, 08 Aug 2026 00:20:03 GMT (8 Aug) · XRP at $1.0228
The Composite Signal Index declined from 46 to 43, moving below the neutral band. Historical data suggests that similar conditions have been followed by lower XRP trading activity over the subsequent week. Confidence 44/100, computed from how far the reading sits past its threshold, not an opinion. This is an observation of a measured market condition, not a recommendation. We log the condition and what happens next so the record can be judged on its own. Not financial advice.
Evidence at fire time
- RSI (14)
- 37.5
- Signal Index
- 43
- Signal Index (prior)
- 46
- 50-day SMA
- $1.0910
- 200-day SMA
- $1.3318
- 50-day SMA (prior)
- $1.0910
- 200-day SMA (prior)
- $1.3318
- ETF net flow (7d)
- -$3.52M
- Whale outflow ratio (7d)
- 0.46
- Whale net flow (7d)
- -13.2M XRP
- Active addresses (sample)
- 702
- Payment volume (sample)
- 1.1M XRP
- Escrow released (sample)
- 0 XRP
- Ledger close avg
- 4.00s
- TA sentiment
- neutral
- XRP price
- $1.0228
Outcome
MISSED- Predicted
- Lower
- Actual
- Sideways
- Realized move
- -2.4%
- Price at fire
- $1.0228
- Price at resolve
- $0.9987
- Sideways band
- ±3%
Logged before the result was known, recorded 8 Aug and settled 7 days later on Sat, 15 Aug 2026 01:05:10 GMT.
Integrity
- Evidence hash (content_hash)
- 681c0119984287192c3ed0676b31a04f8c46ef2341a928b59c84ecdcc2f7fdac
- Previous entry hash (prev_hash)
- aa426c68ca596186a8099728d2b7095a6c7f224d65515ed30f6f8efe8d81b110
- This entry hash (row_hash)
- 3e6eb464c2da6c4060dbe75ba1f422270d8d4a60fc34e508d9361c6f9b89a1c0
These hashes are recomputed from the columns above on every request. The evidence hash seals the inputs; the entry hash seals this row to the one before it. The full chain can be re-derived on the Track Record page.
XRP Signal is for informational purposes only. Nothing on this platform constitutes financial advice. Always do your own research.