XRP Has Posted Losses in Most Octobers on Record, Historical Data Shows
Historical price data shows XRP has closed October in the red in the majority of years since 2018, with only three green Octobers on record. The pattern has persisted even during broader bull market years, with losses ranging from roughly 12% to nearly 17% in recent instances. The data point is drawing renewed attention as the current October period unfolds.
A review of XRP monthly performance data highlights a recurring pattern of October weakness. Out of the years examined, XRP recorded negative October returns in 2018, 2020, 2021, 2022, 2024, and the current 2026 period, with only three years finishing the month in positive territory.
The declines have not been limited to bear market years. Even in 2025, which was broadly characterized as a bull year for crypto markets, XRP shed approximately 11.84% during October. The 2024 October decline was steeper, coming in at around 16.67%.
The lone standout in recent history was 2023, when XRP posted a gain of approximately 16.45% for the month, bucking the broader seasonal trend.
The historical data does not establish a causal mechanism, and seasonal patterns in crypto assets can shift significantly based on macro conditions, regulatory developments, and market structure changes. Nonetheless, the consistency of the October underperformance across varying market environments has made it a noted data point among XRP market observers.
Key facts
- •XRP has recorded negative October returns in most years since 2018
- •Only three green Octobers on record for XRP
- •2025 October saw roughly 11.84% decline despite being a bull year
- •2024 October decline was approximately 16.67%
- •2023 was a notable exception with a gain of approximately 16.45%
- •Current 2026 October is down approximately 12.22% at time of observation